Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 14.425069 16.296050 18.332496 20.716008 23.432304 26.434961 30.010642
2025-02-16 10.839890 13.215494 16.017092 19.574514 23.985406 29.292869 36.190521
2025-02-23 8.695734 11.281147 14.537172 18.959891 24.843630 32.447501 43.092986
2025-03-02 7.272718 9.939792 13.489605 18.595265 25.809002 35.723567 50.532024
2025-03-09 6.310245 9.021923 12.808456 18.533735 27.062721 39.441500 59.029876
2025-03-16 5.555225 8.263493 12.208669 18.444352 28.183114 43.026456 67.774177
2025-03-23 5.131248 7.916878 12.136607 19.087063 30.432267 48.537702 80.253274
2025-03-30 4.650556 7.413091 11.746874 19.154937 31.739431 52.679067 91.053732
2025-04-06 4.148286 6.808977 11.116554 18.730968 32.143405 55.327368 99.612383
2025-04-13 3.743479 6.314150 10.599946 18.417395 32.664432 58.192416 108.909269
2025-04-20 3.532207 6.119970 10.561229 18.918507 34.674862 63.940893 124.427375
2025-04-27 3.359157 5.970924 10.579185 19.513357 36.915912 70.381662 142.251715
2025-05-04 3.128023 5.701425 10.367280 19.683529 38.426477 75.736566 158.993820
2025-05-11 2.843256 5.304108 9.879870 19.269991 38.740220 78.772898 171.388595
2025-05-18 2.602270 4.964289 9.464441 18.947573 39.195376 82.161134 185.138584
2025-05-25 2.396937 4.671930 9.109051 18.702107 39.774969 85.885602 200.285475
2025-06-01 2.238153 4.455255 8.880043 18.690868 40.855420 90.853073 219.236838
2025-06-08 2.089534 4.243824 8.638799 18.622171 41.793683 95.620576 238.523151
2025-06-15 2.021359 4.192180 8.723616 19.280986 44.489275 104.887921 270.996775
2025-06-22 1.907501 4.031775 8.559312 19.353652 45.803709 111.000384 296.223587
2025-06-29 1.763735 3.792465 8.198763 18.926686 45.842045 113.929270 313.221701
2025-07-06 1.641988 3.590154 7.900013 18.610330 46.110217 117.471848 332.584289
2025-07-13 1.589347 3.538609 7.937932 19.117348 48.556214 127.113112 371.704215